Credit Risk Deterioration – Early Warning Indicators
Our latest executive summary, sponsored by the Options Industry Council, is the white paper “The Changing Risk Management Landscape in Derivatives”.
The credit crisis has forced remarkable changes in the financial industry, with the OTC derivatives market now facing immense scrutiny. Critics remark that the opaque nature of this market increases counterparty credit risk, thus contributing to systemic risk events.
It has been proposed that trades be cleared through central counterparties (CCPs), significantly reducing default risks. The exchange-traded model also offers liquidity and transparency. Thus, there is now an increased recognition of the benefits in moving away from the opaque and bilateral OTC trading methodology.
Following the demise of Lehman Brothers, counterparty credit risk has become a major concern. Thus, there are prudent reasons as well as regulatory pressures for banks to execute derivatives trades on exchanges or through CCPs. With gradually increasing innovation in exchange-traded products, the popularity of OTC markets may taper in the near to medium term future. However, regulators and market participants must interact continuously to deliver outcomes that are beneficial to the industry, instead of simply reducing its size.
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